As we head into the 2020 election, John Mark Hansen looks back to understand the election that gave us the Trump presidency and ahead to the elections that will determine its legacy. He will offer—and defend—several claims. First, the most surprising thing about the 2016 election was how utterly normal it was. Second, the 2016 election and the Trump presidency have accelerated rather than reversed existing trends in the American electorate. Finally, the trends in the electorate point to a future that is challenging for the Democrats—but trouble for the Republicans.